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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.52+1.57vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.19-0.11vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.97-0.75vs Predicted
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5Amherst College0.89-1.62vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.01-1.58vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.50-1.18vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-2.93-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57Tufts University1.520.2%1st Place
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1.89Connecticut College2.190.5%1st Place
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3.25Salve Regina University0.970.1%1st Place
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3.38Amherst College0.890.1%1st Place
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4.42Boston University0.010.0%1st Place
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5.82University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.66Wesleyan University-2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Pfosi | 24.3% | 28.4% | 21.5% | 18.9% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 45.6% | 30.9% | 14.9% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Clawson | 12.3% | 16.8% | 27.1% | 24.1% | 16.5% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Noah Brayer | 11.9% | 15.4% | 22.7% | 26.9% | 18.9% | 4.1% | 0.1% |
| Stefanie Anderson | 4.6% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 18.2% | 41.0% | 15.9% | 2.6% |
| Christopher Baker | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 12.8% | 58.4% | 20.0% |
| MATTHEW YOUNGER | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 16.8% | 77.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.