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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+2.49vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.84+3.18vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.32+3.95vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57+2.22vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.06-0.08vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.13+1.57vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.99-2.24vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.20+2.03vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.24-1.78vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland2.09-2.32vs Predicted
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11Hamilton College0.75+0.33vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology0.56-0.35vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology2.06-5.36vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology2.06-6.36vs Predicted
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16Queen's University1.06-5.64vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland2.09-9.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.2%1st Place
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5.18Georgetown University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.95Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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6.22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.1%1st Place
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4.92SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.57Columbia University2.130.1%1st Place
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4.76U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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10.03Fordham University1.200.0%1st Place
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7.22SUNY Maritime College2.240.1%1st Place
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7.68University of Maryland2.090.1%1st Place
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11.33Hamilton College0.750.0%1st Place
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11.65Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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7.64Stevens Institute of Technology2.060.1%1st Place
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7.64Stevens Institute of Technology2.060.1%1st Place
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10.36Queen's University1.060.0%1st Place
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7.68University of Maryland2.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Kana | 24.5% | 19.6% | 15.8% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Schalka | 10.7% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blair Davis | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Boger | 6.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Steel | 10.4% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Coplon | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 14.2% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Tooker | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schoene | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Russell Cramer | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julie Webster | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 14.9% | 19.8% | 28.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 19.7% | 34.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Placentra II | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Placentra II | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Schwenger | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 17.8% | 19.7% | 13.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Russell Cramer | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.