← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University1.80+3.69vs Predicted
-
2Tulane University1.73+3.69vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston1.81+1.72vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College0.52+7.29vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.18+2.40vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+2.64vs Predicted
-
7University of Hawaii0.51+2.42vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University1.07+0.15vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University1.52-2.84vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida0.77-1.45vs Predicted
-
11Jacksonville University0.48-1.76vs Predicted
-
12Christopher Newport University-0.84-1.03vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-5.00vs Predicted
-
14Fordham University-0.32-1.65vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont0.24-4.21vs Predicted
-
16University of Michigan-1.43-0.95vs Predicted
-
17University of Rhode Island-0.20-5.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.69Georgetown University1.8016.2%1st Place
-
5.69Tulane University1.7311.5%1st Place
-
4.72College of Charleston1.8115.5%1st Place
-
11.29Connecticut College0.522.3%1st Place
-
7.4Northeastern University1.186.0%1st Place
-
8.64St. Mary's College of Maryland0.834.7%1st Place
-
9.42University of Hawaii0.514.4%1st Place
-
8.15George Washington University1.075.5%1st Place
-
6.16Old Dominion University1.5210.2%1st Place
-
8.55University of South Florida0.774.7%1st Place
-
9.24Jacksonville University0.484.3%1st Place
-
10.97Christopher Newport University-0.842.2%1st Place
-
8.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.925.0%1st Place
-
12.35Fordham University-0.321.9%1st Place
-
10.79University of Vermont0.242.9%1st Place
-
15.05University of Michigan-1.430.5%1st Place
-
11.9University of Rhode Island-0.202.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Doble | 16.2% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Anderson | 11.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 15.5% | 15.9% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 6.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Lina Carper | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Martha Schuessler | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Marina Conde | 10.2% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Laura Smith | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 6.7% |
| Deana Fedulova | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 17.2% | 11.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 5.1% |
| Jillian Giordano | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 14.6% | 53.5% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.