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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.52+1.55vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.19-1.11vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.01+0.38vs Predicted
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5Amherst College0.89-1.60vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.97-2.70vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.50-1.18vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-2.93-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55Tufts University1.520.3%1st Place
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1.89Connecticut College2.190.5%1st Place
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4.38Boston University0.010.1%1st Place
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3.4Amherst College0.890.1%1st Place
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3.3Salve Regina University0.970.1%1st Place
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5.82University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.66Wesleyan University-2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Pfosi | 25.1% | 28.3% | 21.9% | 17.5% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 45.7% | 29.6% | 16.8% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stefanie Anderson | 5.2% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 18.0% | 41.7% | 15.1% | 2.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 11.3% | 15.8% | 22.3% | 27.1% | 19.5% | 3.9% | 0.1% |
| Mary Clawson | 11.6% | 17.5% | 25.1% | 25.8% | 15.1% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Baker | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 12.7% | 58.9% | 19.8% |
| MATTHEW YOUNGER | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 16.2% | 77.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.