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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Amherst College0.89+2.27vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.19-0.08vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.97-0.75vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.52-2.38vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.01-1.54vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.50-1.18vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-2.93-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Amherst College0.890.1%1st Place
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1.92Connecticut College2.190.4%1st Place
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3.25Salve Regina University0.970.1%1st Place
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2.62Tufts University1.520.2%1st Place
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4.46Boston University0.010.0%1st Place
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5.82University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.66Wesleyan University-2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Brayer | 13.3% | 17.5% | 22.9% | 25.8% | 15.8% | 4.6% | 0.1% |
| Luke Andersen | 44.6% | 31.5% | 14.2% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Clawson | 13.6% | 16.0% | 25.5% | 24.8% | 16.8% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Pfosi | 23.2% | 26.7% | 23.4% | 19.1% | 6.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Stefanie Anderson | 4.0% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 18.2% | 41.6% | 16.2% | 2.6% |
| Christopher Baker | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 13.4% | 58.1% | 19.9% |
| MATTHEW YOUNGER | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 3.4% | 16.9% | 77.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.