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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.19+0.87vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.52-0.43vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.97-0.75vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.01-0.58vs Predicted
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6Amherst College0.89-2.62vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.50-1.16vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-2.93-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Connecticut College2.190.5%1st Place
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2.57Tufts University1.520.2%1st Place
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3.25Salve Regina University0.970.1%1st Place
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4.42Boston University0.010.0%1st Place
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3.38Amherst College0.890.1%1st Place
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5.84University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.65Wesleyan University-2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Andersen | 48.3% | 27.0% | 15.6% | 7.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pfosi | 23.4% | 28.6% | 24.1% | 16.3% | 6.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mary Clawson | 12.0% | 18.9% | 23.9% | 25.5% | 16.5% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Stefanie Anderson | 4.2% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 20.4% | 41.1% | 15.9% | 1.8% |
| Noah Brayer | 11.1% | 17.3% | 23.0% | 24.4% | 19.6% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Baker | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 11.3% | 59.7% | 20.3% |
| MATTHEW YOUNGER | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 16.0% | 77.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.