Race 1A

colony-cup

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Patrick Mazzeo 13.0% 12.5% 13.7% 15.7% 18.6% 14.8% 8.5% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Amanda Attardi 24.6% 23.9% 17.9% 16.0% 9.0% 5.8% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Hall 17.4% 14.9% 16.8% 17.5% 16.5% 11.0% 4.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
McKay Hanna 19.9% 19.8% 19.3% 17.2% 11.6% 8.4% 2.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph Crouse 14.3% 17.4% 15.3% 13.9% 16.0% 12.9% 7.5% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Jela-Ni McCarthy 3.3% 3.9% 5.9% 6.6% 9.4% 15.9% 30.5% 19.1% 5.4% 0.0%
Samuel Haksteen 5.5% 5.4% 7.8% 10.1% 12.9% 22.5% 23.1% 10.2% 2.5% 0.0%
McKay Hanna 19.9% 19.8% 19.3% 17.2% 11.6% 8.4% 2.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicole Pease 1.3% 1.0% 1.7% 2.1% 2.9% 5.9% 11.3% 35.9% 37.9% 0.0%
Kathleen Nelsen 0.7% 1.2% 1.6% 0.9% 3.1% 2.8% 9.3% 26.9% 53.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.