← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University1.73+4.68vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University1.18+5.44vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University1.80+1.78vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii0.51+5.41vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University1.52+1.20vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University1.07+2.12vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+1.80vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College0.52+3.51vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston1.81-4.28vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-2.25vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida0.77-2.58vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island-0.20-0.03vs Predicted
-
13Jacksonville University0.48-3.88vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont0.24-3.22vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University-0.32-2.65vs Predicted
-
16Christopher Newport University-0.84-5.03vs Predicted
-
17University of Michigan-1.43-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.68Tulane University1.7310.7%1st Place
-
7.44Northeastern University1.186.2%1st Place
-
4.78Georgetown University1.8015.8%1st Place
-
9.41University of Hawaii0.513.5%1st Place
-
6.2Old Dominion University1.5210.0%1st Place
-
8.12George Washington University1.075.2%1st Place
-
8.8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.834.3%1st Place
-
11.51Connecticut College0.522.6%1st Place
-
4.72College of Charleston1.8114.8%1st Place
-
7.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.927.0%1st Place
-
8.42University of South Florida0.775.2%1st Place
-
11.97University of Rhode Island-0.202.0%1st Place
-
9.12Jacksonville University0.484.6%1st Place
-
10.78University of Vermont0.242.8%1st Place
-
12.35Fordham University-0.321.5%1st Place
-
10.97Christopher Newport University-0.842.6%1st Place
-
15.0University of Michigan-1.430.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Anderson | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Emily Doble | 15.8% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Marina Conde | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Lina Carper | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 7.3% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 14.8% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 8.8% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 5.5% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 11.9% |
| Laura Smith | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 5.7% |
| Jillian Giordano | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 13.4% | 54.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.