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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.06+3.80vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57+3.99vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+0.44vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology2.06+3.70vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.24+2.26vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology2.06+1.70vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.84-1.46vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.20+1.87vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.32-2.12vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.99-4.94vs Predicted
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11Queen's University1.06-0.43vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology0.56-0.28vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland2.09-5.37vs Predicted
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14Columbia University2.13-6.62vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland2.09-8.37vs Predicted
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17Hamilton College0.75-5.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.1%1st Place
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3.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.2%1st Place
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7.7Stevens Institute of Technology2.060.0%1st Place
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7.26SUNY Maritime College2.240.1%1st Place
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7.7Stevens Institute of Technology2.060.0%1st Place
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5.54Georgetown University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.87Fordham University1.200.0%1st Place
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6.88Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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5.06U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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10.57Queen's University1.060.0%1st Place
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11.72Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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7.63University of Maryland2.090.0%1st Place
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7.38Columbia University2.130.1%1st Place
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7.63University of Maryland2.090.0%1st Place
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11.15Hamilton College0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Steel | 12.2% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Boger | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Kana | 24.6% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Placentra II | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schoene | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Placentra II | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Schalka | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Tooker | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blair Davis | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Schwenger | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 18.2% | 17.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 0.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 19.4% | 36.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Russell Cramer | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Coplon | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Russell Cramer | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julie Webster | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 13.8% | 23.1% | 24.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.