Race 2A

colony-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Andrew Hall 16.4% 16.0% 17.4% 17.8% 15.3% 10.6% 5.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Patrick Mazzeo 9.2% 12.3% 14.9% 16.1% 17.4% 17.9% 8.8% 2.9% 0.5% 0.0%
McKay Hanna 18.7% 19.2% 18.1% 16.7% 12.9% 9.4% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Samuel Haksteen 5.9% 5.6% 9.4% 10.5% 12.6% 21.7% 22.3% 9.8% 2.2% 0.0%
Joseph Crouse 14.6% 16.6% 16.2% 13.5% 17.1% 11.6% 7.8% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Amanda Attardi 28.5% 24.9% 16.9% 13.6% 9.9% 4.5% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kathleen Nelsen 0.6% 0.9% 1.3% 1.6% 1.9% 4.1% 8.8% 26.3% 54.5% 0.0%
Jela-Ni McCarthy 4.8% 3.6% 3.8% 7.4% 9.7% 16.4% 29.0% 18.2% 7.1% 0.0%
Nicole Pease 1.3% 0.9% 2.0% 2.8% 3.2% 3.8% 12.2% 38.5% 35.3% 0.0%
McKay Hanna 18.7% 19.2% 18.1% 16.7% 12.9% 9.4% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.