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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College1.19+2.57vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.87+2.27vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.35+0.33vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.35-0.67vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.71-2.31vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland1.00-2.20vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-2.59vs Predicted
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9Hampton University-0.35-2.84vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-1.88-1.95vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-1.56-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57SUNY Maritime College1.190.2%1st Place
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4.27William and Mary0.870.1%1st Place
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3.33Virginia Tech1.350.2%1st Place
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3.33Virginia Tech1.350.2%1st Place
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2.69Christopher Newport University1.710.3%1st Place
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3.8University of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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5.41University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.1%1st Place
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6.16Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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8.05William and Mary-1.880.0%1st Place
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7.71St. John's College-1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Hall | 17.4% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 18.8% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 8.9% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 20.4% | 17.3% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 20.4% | 17.3% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 28.5% | 25.0% | 17.8% | 14.0% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Crouse | 14.1% | 18.4% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 20.1% | 24.2% | 10.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 11.0% | 17.1% | 29.6% | 18.7% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Nelsen | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 9.0% | 25.1% | 54.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Pease | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 11.2% | 37.0% | 37.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.