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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College1.19+2.55vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.71+0.90vs Predicted
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3St. John's College-1.56+4.77vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.35-0.77vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.87-0.96vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-1.62vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland1.00-4.06vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech1.35-5.77vs Predicted
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10Hampton University-0.35-3.86vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-1.88-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55SUNY Maritime College1.190.2%1st Place
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2.9Christopher Newport University1.710.2%1st Place
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7.77St. John's College-1.560.0%1st Place
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3.23Virginia Tech1.350.2%1st Place
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4.04William and Mary0.870.1%1st Place
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5.38University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.1%1st Place
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3.94University of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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3.23Virginia Tech1.350.2%1st Place
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6.14Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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8.05William and Mary-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Hall | 18.7% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 10.7% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 23.8% | 24.0% | 20.3% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Pease | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 11.7% | 34.3% | 39.4% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 20.1% | 21.1% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 13.0% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 23.7% | 23.3% | 9.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Crouse | 13.4% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 18.5% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 20.1% | 21.1% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 29.1% | 20.2% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Nelsen | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 28.1% | 52.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.