Race 5A

colony-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
McKay Hanna 20.2% 17.5% 18.0% 18.6% 11.4% 9.8% 3.5% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Hall 12.5% 17.6% 17.5% 18.4% 15.6% 10.8% 5.2% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Patrick Mazzeo 12.7% 10.6% 15.8% 15.4% 18.1% 14.8% 9.4% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Amanda Attardi 29.1% 23.6% 19.6% 13.1% 8.2% 5.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph Crouse 14.3% 18.3% 14.8% 14.2% 15.9% 12.8% 6.7% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Samuel Haksteen 5.5% 6.2% 7.7% 9.9% 13.8% 21.5% 23.3% 10.2% 1.9% 0.0%
Jela-Ni McCarthy 3.7% 4.1% 3.4% 6.3% 11.3% 16.5% 29.8% 19.1% 5.8% 0.0%
McKay Hanna 20.2% 17.5% 18.0% 18.6% 11.4% 9.8% 3.5% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicole Pease 0.9% 1.2% 2.0% 2.5% 3.3% 5.3% 11.6% 35.4% 37.8% 0.0%
Kathleen Nelsen 1.1% 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 2.4% 3.5% 9.3% 26.4% 53.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.