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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College1.19+2.61vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.87+2.30vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.71-0.23vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland1.00-0.22vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10+0.35vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.35-2.74vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech1.35-3.74vs Predicted
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8Hampton University-0.35-1.83vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-1.88-1.96vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-1.56-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61SUNY Maritime College1.190.2%1st Place
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4.3William and Mary0.870.1%1st Place
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2.77Christopher Newport University1.710.3%1st Place
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3.78University of Maryland1.000.2%1st Place
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5.35University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.1%1st Place
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3.26Virginia Tech1.350.2%1st Place
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3.26Virginia Tech1.350.2%1st Place
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6.17Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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8.04William and Mary-1.880.0%1st Place
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7.71St. John's College-1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Hall | 17.3% | 15.6% | 17.3% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 9.4% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 18.0% | 16.8% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 28.1% | 23.2% | 18.2% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Crouse | 15.1% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 17.2% | 16.9% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 19.9% | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 19.1% | 20.5% | 18.3% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 19.1% | 20.5% | 18.3% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 16.8% | 30.2% | 19.0% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Nelsen | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 9.3% | 25.0% | 54.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Pease | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 12.0% | 37.2% | 36.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.