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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.82+1.43vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.28+2.90vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.00-0.81vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.09+0.93vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.62+1.06vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland0.86-2.26vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.01-1.84vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.62-1.94vs Predicted
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9St. John's College-1.46-1.71vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.46-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Christopher Newport University1.820.3%1st Place
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4.9Christopher Newport University0.280.0%1st Place
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2.19Hampton University2.000.4%1st Place
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4.93William and Mary0.090.1%1st Place
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6.06Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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3.74University of Maryland0.860.1%1st Place
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5.16William and Mary0.010.1%1st Place
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6.06Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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7.29St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
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8.29University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anders Hudson | 30.7% | 29.3% | 19.4% | 11.8% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shelby Locke | 4.7% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 18.8% | 18.6% | 14.0% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Cristina Ortiz Vivas | 37.4% | 29.9% | 16.6% | 10.3% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Farrell | 6.3% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 18.4% | 20.2% | 16.1% | 6.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 2.6% | 3.0% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 25.1% | 19.4% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Thomas | 11.1% | 15.5% | 21.2% | 18.7% | 15.3% | 11.7% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Ransone | 5.2% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 18.6% | 22.1% | 15.6% | 9.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 2.6% | 3.0% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 25.1% | 19.4% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Branham Talton | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 16.1% | 38.5% | 23.6% | 0.0% |
| Tina Nassehi | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 6.8% | 18.4% | 66.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.