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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.00+1.19vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.28+2.86vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland0.86+0.79vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.82-1.65vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.62+1.06vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.62+0.06vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.09-2.00vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.01-2.86vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.46-1.69vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-1.46-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Hampton University2.000.4%1st Place
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4.86Christopher Newport University0.280.1%1st Place
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3.79University of Maryland0.860.1%1st Place
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2.35Christopher Newport University1.820.3%1st Place
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6.06Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.06Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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5.0William and Mary0.090.1%1st Place
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5.14William and Mary0.010.1%1st Place
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8.31University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.460.0%1st Place
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7.28St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristina Ortiz Vivas | 37.2% | 30.6% | 17.4% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shelby Locke | 5.0% | 7.0% | 12.4% | 18.4% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 6.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Thomas | 11.2% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 20.9% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 31.5% | 29.7% | 21.3% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 25.3% | 19.1% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 25.3% | 19.1% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Liam Farrell | 5.6% | 5.8% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 18.3% | 20.2% | 16.3% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Ransone | 5.1% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 18.0% | 23.1% | 15.6% | 8.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Tina Nassehi | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 17.2% | 68.6% | 0.0% |
| Branham Talton | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 16.2% | 40.7% | 21.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.