Race 4B

colony-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Cristina Ortiz Vivas 36.7% 30.6% 18.1% 9.0% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Shelby Locke 4.7% 7.5% 10.9% 17.5% 21.6% 15.9% 13.4% 7.6% 0.9% 0.0%
Anders Hudson 31.0% 28.9% 20.0% 12.8% 5.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kris Rodriguez 2.5% 3.8% 6.1% 7.8% 11.4% 18.2% 25.2% 20.7% 4.3% 0.0%
Branham Talton 1.3% 1.7% 2.4% 3.8% 6.6% 10.2% 15.1% 34.7% 24.2% 0.0%
Zachary Thomas 11.7% 14.8% 22.3% 19.8% 15.2% 9.6% 5.3% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Elizabeth Ransone 5.3% 5.9% 8.8% 12.2% 19.2% 20.6% 16.7% 10.0% 1.3% 0.0%
Liam Farrell 6.3% 5.7% 10.8% 16.2% 15.0% 18.4% 17.1% 9.1% 1.4% 0.0%
Tina Nassehi 0.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.9% 2.4% 3.9% 6.1% 16.7% 67.8% 0.0%
Kris Rodriguez 2.5% 3.8% 6.1% 7.8% 11.4% 18.2% 25.2% 20.7% 4.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.