Race 5B

colony-cup

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Cristina Ortiz Vivas 40.3% 32.6% 16.3% 7.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Anders Hudson 33.1% 31.3% 20.1% 9.5% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kris Rodriguez 2.7% 4.3% 5.6% 10.7% 15.4% 21.3% 21.4% 14.4% 4.2% 0.0%
Kris Rodriguez 2.7% 4.3% 5.6% 10.7% 15.4% 21.3% 21.4% 14.4% 4.2% 0.0%
Liam Farrell 6.3% 9.1% 13.7% 20.9% 20.3% 14.6% 11.2% 3.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Shelby Locke 8.0% 11.2% 21.1% 19.0% 16.7% 12.6% 6.7% 4.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Elizabeth Ransone 5.7% 6.7% 13.9% 19.4% 19.8% 18.5% 11.0% 4.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Branham Talton 1.1% 1.5% 3.2% 4.1% 7.8% 12.0% 17.3% 33.7% 19.3% 0.0%
Mark Shortz 2.5% 2.4% 4.4% 7.2% 10.9% 15.0% 23.9% 23.8% 9.9% 0.0%
Tina Nassehi 0.3% 0.9% 1.7% 2.1% 2.7% 3.6% 7.6% 16.6% 64.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.