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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+7.39vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.61+2.84vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.83+4.72vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.68+4.26vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.92+2.26vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.67+2.50vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.51-1.73vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.54+0.68vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.50+0.19vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.93+1.06vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.50-1.83vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.50-3.00vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.79-4.99vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-6.02vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan2.35-1.98vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.80-4.33vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.60-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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4.84College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
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7.72Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.26Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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7.26University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.5Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.27Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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8.68Old Dominion University3.540.1%1st Place
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9.19Boston College3.500.0%1st Place
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11.06University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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9.17Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
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9.0U. S. Naval Academy3.500.1%1st Place
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8.01Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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13.02University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
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11.67University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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15.0Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Patten | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Allison Blecher | 16.0% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Maggie Shea | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Amy Hawkins | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Sydney Bolger | 12.5% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katrina Williams | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Emily Maxwell | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 5.5% |
| Claire Dennis | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Christina Pryne | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Megan Magill | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Christina Baker | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 22.6% | 20.4% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 9.5% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 15.1% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.