Race 6A

susan-rogers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

16.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Deana Fedulova 14.5% 16.0% 14.1% 13.1% 13.3% 9.2% 9.1% 5.1% 3.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Adra Ivancich 11.7% 11.8% 12.2% 14.8% 12.2% 10.5% 10.3% 6.7% 5.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.2%
Nikita Troast 3.9% 3.9% 4.9% 6.2% 6.4% 9.0% 9.8% 10.5% 11.7% 13.5% 13.1% 7.1%
Sadie Yoder 3.1% 4.3% 4.5% 6.2% 6.8% 8.6% 8.3% 10.5% 13.0% 12.1% 13.8% 8.6%
Esme Gonzalez 3.1% 4.5% 4.6% 5.5% 6.6% 7.2% 8.3% 9.8% 11.8% 14.3% 14.5% 9.6%
Sophia Mulvania 28.6% 22.2% 17.4% 12.2% 8.8% 5.3% 3.1% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sabrina Starck 11.8% 12.6% 14.3% 12.2% 11.3% 9.8% 9.7% 7.8% 5.8% 3.2% 1.4% 0.2%
Nicole Ostapowicz 4.3% 4.2% 4.2% 5.8% 5.5% 7.8% 8.6% 10.0% 11.6% 13.2% 14.3% 10.4%
Annika VanderHorst 9.5% 8.8% 10.1% 10.8% 11.1% 11.8% 10.6% 10.1% 7.7% 5.3% 3.2% 1.0%
Katherine Mason 4.5% 4.0% 5.9% 5.0% 7.1% 8.3% 9.0% 11.3% 10.5% 12.6% 13.4% 8.5%
Keelyn Brink 4.1% 6.4% 5.8% 6.4% 8.0% 8.6% 9.8% 11.2% 12.1% 12.0% 10.4% 5.2%
Gentry Schneider 0.9% 1.2% 2.1% 1.8% 2.9% 4.1% 3.4% 5.3% 6.5% 8.5% 14.4% 48.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.