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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.52+5.17vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+2.77vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.80+1.76vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+4.96vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.18+2.40vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.73-0.19vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.77+1.39vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.24+2.54vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.51+0.47vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.52+1.44vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-3.22vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.07-3.98vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University-0.84-2.01vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.48-4.98vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island-0.20-3.06vs Predicted
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16Fordham University-0.32-3.44vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-1.43-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Old Dominion University1.5210.8%1st Place
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4.77College of Charleston1.8115.6%1st Place
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4.76Georgetown University1.8015.8%1st Place
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8.96St. Mary's College of Maryland0.834.0%1st Place
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7.4Northeastern University1.186.5%1st Place
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5.81Tulane University1.7310.2%1st Place
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8.39University of South Florida0.775.2%1st Place
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10.54University of Vermont0.242.9%1st Place
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9.47University of Hawaii0.514.2%1st Place
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11.44Connecticut College0.521.8%1st Place
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7.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.926.0%1st Place
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8.02George Washington University1.075.6%1st Place
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10.99Christopher Newport University-0.842.5%1st Place
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9.02Jacksonville University0.485.0%1st Place
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11.94University of Rhode Island-0.202.2%1st Place
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12.56Fordham University-0.321.4%1st Place
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14.99University of Michigan-1.430.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Conde | 10.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 15.6% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doble | 15.8% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lina Carper | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ava Anderson | 10.2% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 4.8% |
| Martha Schuessler | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 6.4% |
| Deana Fedulova | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Laura Smith | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 5.5% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 11.1% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 12.8% |
| Jillian Giordano | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 53.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.