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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.00+1.00vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.28+2.44vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.82-0.83vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.01+0.64vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.06+1.31vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.09-1.43vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.46+1.21vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.62-2.30vs Predicted
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9St. John's College-1.46-2.03vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-0.62-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0Hampton University2.000.4%1st Place
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4.44Christopher Newport University0.280.1%1st Place
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2.17Christopher Newport University1.820.4%1st Place
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4.64William and Mary0.010.1%1st Place
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6.31University of Maryland-1.060.0%1st Place
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4.57William and Mary0.090.1%1st Place
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8.21University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.460.0%1st Place
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5.7Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.97St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
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5.7Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristina Ortiz Vivas | 41.0% | 33.6% | 15.0% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shelby Locke | 5.1% | 8.5% | 18.5% | 20.1% | 19.2% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 35.2% | 32.7% | 17.7% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Ransone | 6.2% | 7.8% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 21.2% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 5.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mark Shortz | 1.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 21.6% | 22.9% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Farrell | 5.2% | 7.5% | 16.6% | 18.6% | 20.0% | 17.6% | 10.1% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tina Nassehi | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 7.3% | 17.5% | 64.3% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 3.4% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 20.2% | 19.6% | 14.2% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Branham Talton | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 13.2% | 18.2% | 33.0% | 18.2% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 3.4% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 20.2% | 19.6% | 14.2% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.