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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.49+0.69vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+5.37vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.66+0.88vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.01-0.78vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.16-0.05vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-3.59vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-3.55vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy-0.82-1.70vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-1.17-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.69Tufts University3.490.6%1st Place
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7.37University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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3.88Northeastern University1.660.1%1st Place
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3.22Boston University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.95University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
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3.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.1%1st Place
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4.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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7.3Maine Maritime Academy-0.820.0%1st Place
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7.73Bentley University-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rolander | 55.8% | 27.6% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 11.6% | 22.8% | 28.8% | 26.2% |
| Kurran Singh | 7.7% | 16.2% | 18.2% | 21.0% | 18.3% | 13.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Benoit | 13.4% | 22.9% | 24.1% | 18.1% | 13.5% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Sleight | 2.3% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 24.3% | 21.7% | 15.1% | 5.5% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 12.4% | 18.0% | 22.8% | 21.9% | 14.8% | 8.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Luber | 6.0% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 17.8% | 25.9% | 17.0% | 9.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Lovering | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 10.4% | 23.0% | 28.1% | 26.1% |
| Christine Reighley | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 16.4% | 24.9% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.