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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.49+0.66vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+5.38vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.01+0.36vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+0.35vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.16-0.05vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.66-3.18vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-4.54vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy-0.82-1.71vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-1.17-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.66Tufts University3.490.6%1st Place
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7.38University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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3.36Boston University2.010.1%1st Place
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4.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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5.95University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
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3.82Northeastern University1.660.1%1st Place
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3.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.1%1st Place
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7.29Maine Maritime Academy-0.820.0%1st Place
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7.72Bentley University-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rolander | 57.5% | 26.9% | 10.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 11.9% | 23.5% | 28.6% | 26.2% |
| Joseph Benoit | 12.1% | 20.3% | 23.9% | 18.5% | 15.8% | 7.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Luber | 5.6% | 11.2% | 15.5% | 18.0% | 21.3% | 19.0% | 7.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Sleight | 2.2% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 24.6% | 21.5% | 15.2% | 5.5% |
| Kurran Singh | 8.3% | 14.4% | 20.7% | 20.9% | 20.7% | 10.6% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 11.7% | 20.9% | 18.6% | 21.5% | 16.4% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Lovering | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 10.4% | 22.2% | 28.8% | 26.0% |
| Christine Reighley | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 8.1% | 16.7% | 24.9% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.