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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+2.53vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.32+4.70vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.06+1.75vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57+2.22vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland2.09+2.70vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology2.06+1.80vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.84-1.87vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.99-3.00vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.20+1.23vs Predicted
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10Columbia University2.13-2.45vs Predicted
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11Stevens Institute of Technology2.06-3.20vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland2.09-4.30vs Predicted
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13Queen's University1.06-2.42vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.24-6.83vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology0.56-3.44vs Predicted
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17Hamilton College0.75-5.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.2%1st Place
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6.7Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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4.75SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.1%1st Place
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7.7University of Maryland2.090.0%1st Place
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7.8Stevens Institute of Technology2.060.1%1st Place
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5.13Georgetown University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.0U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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10.23Fordham University1.200.0%1st Place
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7.55Columbia University2.130.0%1st Place
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7.8Stevens Institute of Technology2.060.1%1st Place
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7.7University of Maryland2.090.0%1st Place
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10.58Queen's University1.060.0%1st Place
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7.17SUNY Maritime College2.240.1%1st Place
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11.56Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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11.07Hamilton College0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Kana | 24.2% | 17.8% | 17.6% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blair Davis | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Steel | 13.2% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Boger | 6.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Russell Cramer | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Placentra II | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Schalka | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 12.3% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Tooker | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Coplon | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Placentra II | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Russell Cramer | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Schwenger | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 18.8% | 17.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schoene | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 19.6% | 34.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julie Webster | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 20.7% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.