Race 6B

commonwealth-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Samuel Campbell 17.0% 17.3% 16.0% 14.9% 11.7% 11.3% 7.6% 2.7% 1.5% 0.0%
William Manning 8.9% 9.4% 12.8% 14.7% 15.4% 14.7% 11.7% 8.0% 4.0% 0.4%
Nathaniel Douglass 4.1% 4.4% 6.4% 7.0% 9.1% 10.9% 14.8% 22.9% 17.1% 3.3%
Molly Pleskus 36.0% 27.7% 16.9% 10.9% 5.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Karl Ryder 12.8% 14.0% 15.8% 17.9% 12.3% 13.0% 8.2% 3.5% 2.2% 0.3%
Francis Guiton 6.6% 7.7% 8.3% 9.8% 13.3% 15.0% 14.8% 14.6% 9.1% 0.8%
Kelsey Martins 3.2% 4.2% 6.2% 8.3% 9.5% 11.7% 17.1% 18.0% 19.2% 2.6%
Alexander Calderwood 8.8% 13.2% 12.3% 11.5% 17.1% 13.5% 10.2% 8.4% 4.8% 0.2%
Carl Noble 2.2% 1.8% 5.0% 4.8% 5.7% 6.6% 12.2% 18.7% 35.8% 7.2%
Regan Yeung 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 1.4% 2.7% 2.7% 6.3% 85.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.