Race 7B

commonwealth-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Molly Pleskus 39.9% 27.6% 13.2% 8.9% 6.0% 3.0% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Campbell 15.3% 16.4% 19.7% 16.7% 13.0% 8.9% 6.3% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Alexander Calderwood 10.2% 9.8% 12.3% 13.2% 15.8% 15.4% 12.4% 9.1% 1.7% 0.1%
Nathaniel Douglass 2.6% 5.1% 7.4% 9.3% 10.0% 13.3% 18.9% 22.5% 9.3% 1.6%
Francis Guiton 6.5% 9.1% 9.7% 11.0% 12.3% 14.8% 16.0% 16.1% 4.1% 0.4%
Karl Ryder 12.9% 14.7% 16.5% 16.1% 14.3% 12.3% 8.6% 4.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Kelsey Martins 3.4% 4.3% 6.5% 8.0% 10.1% 13.8% 19.5% 23.3% 9.9% 1.2%
Molly Ohman 0.2% 0.8% 1.3% 1.6% 2.2% 2.6% 4.4% 7.9% 48.8% 30.2%
William Manning 8.8% 11.8% 13.2% 14.7% 15.5% 14.3% 11.2% 8.6% 1.8% 0.1%
Regan Yeung 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 1.6% 1.9% 4.6% 23.5% 66.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.