Race 8B

commonwealth-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Samuel Campbell 17.1% 19.0% 15.6% 16.0% 13.0% 8.4% 7.3% 3.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Karl Ryder 12.3% 14.5% 15.8% 16.3% 14.8% 12.0% 8.7% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Molly Pleskus 37.4% 25.7% 18.7% 9.8% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
William Manning 9.1% 10.6% 13.0% 14.9% 15.7% 15.6% 11.2% 8.2% 1.5% 0.2%
Alexander Calderwood 9.6% 11.1% 11.9% 15.1% 15.1% 16.2% 11.0% 8.1% 1.8% 0.1%
Francis Guiton 7.2% 8.4% 8.5% 9.8% 13.5% 16.9% 15.4% 15.6% 4.5% 0.2%
Nathaniel Douglass 3.0% 4.3% 8.5% 7.8% 9.3% 13.5% 19.9% 23.6% 9.0% 1.1%
Kelsey Martins 3.5% 5.0% 7.1% 8.7% 10.2% 11.5% 18.8% 25.4% 8.7% 1.1%
Molly Ohman 0.5% 1.1% 0.6% 1.2% 2.1% 2.2% 4.6% 7.7% 49.4% 30.6%
Regan Yeung 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 1.6% 2.5% 3.5% 23.7% 66.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.