Race 9B

commonwealth-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Molly Pleskus 40.7% 25.7% 14.0% 10.5% 4.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Karl Ryder 11.8% 14.0% 18.3% 15.4% 14.5% 11.8% 8.4% 5.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Samuel Campbell 15.4% 16.5% 17.0% 17.0% 14.2% 11.2% 6.2% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0%
William Manning 7.6% 12.9% 13.4% 14.0% 16.2% 14.9% 11.2% 8.0% 1.8% 0.0%
Francis Guiton 6.5% 9.0% 9.1% 10.2% 12.7% 16.6% 15.9% 15.0% 4.5% 0.5%
Alexander Calderwood 9.9% 11.6% 11.9% 15.4% 14.6% 13.9% 11.3% 9.4% 2.0% 0.0%
Nathaniel Douglass 3.4% 4.2% 7.4% 8.0% 10.4% 14.0% 18.9% 23.8% 8.7% 1.2%
Kelsey Martins 3.8% 5.1% 7.5% 7.6% 9.6% 11.6% 20.8% 23.5% 9.0% 1.5%
Regan Yeung 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 0.4% 1.0% 0.9% 2.1% 4.3% 23.4% 66.6%
Molly Ohman 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 1.5% 2.1% 2.5% 4.0% 8.1% 49.7% 30.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.