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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.33+2.54vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.68+2.98vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.26+3.12vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology-0.22+7.68vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22-1.31vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.07+0.54vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.63-1.92vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.11-1.61vs Predicted
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9Queen's University1.19-0.10vs Predicted
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10Hamilton College0.85-0.34vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.98-1.82vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology0.98-2.56vs Predicted
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13Columbia University2.43-7.20vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology-0.22-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Georgetown University3.330.2%1st Place
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4.98U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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6.12SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
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11.68Stevens Institute of Technology-0.220.0%1st Place
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3.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.2%1st Place
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6.54Cornell University2.070.1%1st Place
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5.08SUNY Maritime College2.630.1%1st Place
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6.39Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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8.9Queen's University1.190.0%1st Place
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9.66Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
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9.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.980.0%1st Place
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9.44Rochester Institute of Technology0.980.0%1st Place
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5.8Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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11.68Stevens Institute of Technology-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Eichler | 22.8% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Timmins | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Lubliner | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter McCauley | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 17.3% | 56.2% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Zacher | 19.9% | 18.9% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Goldsmith | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Julia Paxton | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Heather Richardson | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| William McIvor | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 17.3% | 20.6% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Alex Wood | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hunt | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 18.1% | 19.8% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter McCauley | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 17.3% | 56.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.