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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.80+3.81vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+2.78vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.77+5.37vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.52+2.28vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University-0.84+5.99vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.07+2.03vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.18+0.54vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.73-2.07vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-1.33vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83-1.22vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii0.51-1.76vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island-0.20-0.17vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.52-1.60vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.48-4.71vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.24-4.17vs Predicted
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16Fordham University-0.32-3.79vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-1.43-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81Georgetown University1.8014.6%1st Place
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4.78College of Charleston1.8115.2%1st Place
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8.37University of South Florida0.775.0%1st Place
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6.28Old Dominion University1.5210.2%1st Place
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10.99Christopher Newport University-0.841.9%1st Place
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8.03George Washington University1.076.2%1st Place
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7.54Northeastern University1.186.2%1st Place
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5.93Tulane University1.7311.5%1st Place
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7.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.926.4%1st Place
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8.78St. Mary's College of Maryland0.834.8%1st Place
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9.24University of Hawaii0.514.8%1st Place
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11.83University of Rhode Island-0.201.9%1st Place
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11.4Connecticut College0.522.2%1st Place
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9.29Jacksonville University0.484.3%1st Place
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10.83University of Vermont0.242.3%1st Place
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12.21Fordham University-0.321.8%1st Place
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15.02University of Michigan-1.430.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Doble | 14.6% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 15.2% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Marina Conde | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Laura Smith | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 5.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Ava Anderson | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Deana Fedulova | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Lina Carper | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Martha Schuessler | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 9.8% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 8.2% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 4.8% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 11.6% |
| Jillian Giordano | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 14.0% | 54.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.