Race 10B

commonwealth-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Samuel Campbell 17.7% 17.4% 16.3% 15.3% 12.8% 10.3% 7.0% 2.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Alexander Calderwood 8.8% 9.2% 14.3% 15.4% 14.7% 14.1% 13.6% 8.1% 1.6% 0.2%
Karl Ryder 12.1% 14.8% 14.5% 15.0% 17.0% 13.0% 8.7% 3.8% 1.1% 0.0%
Molly Pleskus 36.9% 28.8% 16.0% 10.9% 4.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
William Manning 10.2% 10.3% 13.0% 16.2% 13.7% 15.5% 11.4% 7.5% 2.0% 0.2%
Kelsey Martins 5.1% 4.7% 7.2% 6.5% 9.6% 13.3% 16.9% 26.2% 9.6% 0.9%
Francis Guiton 4.3% 7.8% 10.7% 11.2% 14.4% 15.4% 18.0% 14.4% 3.3% 0.5%
Nathaniel Douglass 3.8% 6.0% 6.8% 7.8% 11.2% 12.2% 17.4% 24.8% 9.1% 0.9%
Molly Ohman 0.8% 0.5% 0.9% 1.5% 1.7% 2.6% 3.8% 8.3% 49.3% 30.6%
Regan Yeung 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 1.7% 2.7% 3.8% 23.5% 66.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.