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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22+2.76vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology-0.22+9.59vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.33+0.54vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.68+1.05vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.63+0.04vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.07+0.53vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.98+2.24vs Predicted
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8Columbia University2.43-2.41vs Predicted
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9Queen's University1.19-0.08vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.26-3.92vs Predicted
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11Hamilton College0.85-1.48vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.11-5.39vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology0.98-4.48vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology-0.22-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.2%1st Place
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11.59Stevens Institute of Technology-0.220.0%1st Place
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3.54Georgetown University3.330.2%1st Place
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5.05U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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5.04SUNY Maritime College2.630.1%1st Place
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6.53Cornell University2.070.1%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.980.0%1st Place
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5.59Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.92Queen's University1.190.0%1st Place
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6.08SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
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9.52Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
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6.61Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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9.52Rochester Institute of Technology0.980.0%1st Place
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11.59Stevens Institute of Technology-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Zacher | 19.1% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter McCauley | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 15.9% | 55.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Eichler | 19.4% | 21.8% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Timmins | 11.7% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Paxton | 11.3% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Goldsmith | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Wood | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Heather Richardson | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Scott Lubliner | 8.0% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William McIvor | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 18.9% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hunt | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 20.0% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter McCauley | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 15.9% | 55.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.