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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Denison University-0.21+0.52vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-2.65+1.43vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-0.92-0.91vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-2.04-1.04vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-2.65-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.52Denison University-0.210.6%1st Place
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3.43Ohio State University-2.650.1%1st Place
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2.09University of Notre Dame-0.920.3%1st Place
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2.96Ohio State University-2.040.1%1st Place
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3.43Ohio State University-2.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 59.8% | 30.4% | 8.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Childs | 5.4% | 8.1% | 24.3% | 62.2% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Jegier | 26.9% | 44.4% | 21.9% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Connor Basile | 7.9% | 17.1% | 45.6% | 29.4% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Childs | 5.4% | 8.1% | 24.3% | 62.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.