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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.97+8.99vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+3.74vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.73+4.03vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.14vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70+2.24vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05+3.52vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.94+3.14vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.63-0.49vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.68+1.99vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.14+6.08vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+0.49vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.44-3.67vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.59-1.70vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.52-6.12vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81-4.51vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.88-9.69vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.19-4.01vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.45-5.96vs Predicted
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19Columbia University0.11-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.99University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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5.74Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.03Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.14U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.24Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.52Harvard University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.14Roger Williams University2.940.0%1st Place
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7.51University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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10.99Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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16.08North Carolina State University1.140.0%1st Place
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11.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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8.33Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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11.3Connecticut College2.590.0%1st Place
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7.88Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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10.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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6.31Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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12.99University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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12.04Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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17.78Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Ramos | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Ian Barrows | 12.8% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Michael Gemperline | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| Benton Morton | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 32.0% | 23.6% |
| Bradley Brown | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 1.2% |
| Colin MURPHY | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 0.6% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Ford | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 2.8% |
| John Silvestri | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 2.1% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 14.9% | 66.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.