← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University4.08+4.68vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.70+5.10vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.73+4.00vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.10vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan2.97+5.27vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University3.05+3.54vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81+3.68vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont3.63-0.49vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University2.45+2.83vs Predicted
-
10Brown University3.88-3.78vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University2.94-0.83vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University2.68-0.51vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College3.52-5.47vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island2.19-0.82vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-3.69vs Predicted
-
16North Carolina State University1.14+0.08vs Predicted
-
17Dartmouth College3.44-8.97vs Predicted
-
18Connecticut College2.59-6.49vs Predicted
-
19Columbia University0.11-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.68Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
-
7.1Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
-
7.0Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
-
7.1U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
10.27University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
-
9.54Harvard University3.050.1%1st Place
-
10.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
-
7.51University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
-
11.83Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
-
6.22Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
-
10.17Roger Williams University2.940.0%1st Place
-
11.49Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
-
7.53Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
-
13.18University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
-
11.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
-
16.08North Carolina State University1.140.0%1st Place
-
8.03Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
-
11.51Connecticut College2.590.0%1st Place
-
17.75Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Snow | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Michael Drumm | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Ford | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gemperline | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 3.6% |
| Bradley Brown | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Benton Morton | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 35.2% | 20.9% |
| Colin MURPHY | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 16.7% | 64.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.