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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.70+6.07vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81+8.64vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.94+7.22vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.10vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.73+2.09vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.68+5.02vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+4.50vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.52-0.02vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.63-1.84vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.45+1.97vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.88-4.67vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.08-6.13vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan2.97-3.13vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.05-4.18vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.59-3.64vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.14+0.08vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.44-8.87vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.19-4.97vs Predicted
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19Columbia University0.11-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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10.22Roger Williams University2.940.0%1st Place
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7.1U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.09Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.02Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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11.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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7.98Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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7.16University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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11.97Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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6.33Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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5.87Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.87University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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9.82Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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11.36Connecticut College2.590.0%1st Place
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16.08North Carolina State University1.140.0%1st Place
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8.13Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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13.03University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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17.76Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Ford | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Michael Gemperline | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Snow | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Bradley Brown | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| John Silvestri | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 1.3% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Benton Morton | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 35.2% | 21.6% |
| Colin MURPHY | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Penwell | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 4.5% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 16.8% | 64.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.