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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.76+8.77vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.38+5.37vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.27+4.85vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.79+1.77vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.97+4.16vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.65+0.30vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.81+2.64vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.13+0.47vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.07+8.50vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.92-0.93vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.95-1.98vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-2.14vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.58-2.72vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.63-7.53vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.85-1.96vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.41-8.95vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.34-5.60vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.38-3.28vs Predicted
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19Columbia University0.05-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.77Yale University2.760.0%1st Place
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7.37Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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7.85Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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5.77Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.16Roger Williams University2.970.0%1st Place
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6.3Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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9.64Boston University2.810.0%1st Place
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8.47Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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17.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.070.0%1st Place
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9.07Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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9.02University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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9.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.28Connecticut College2.580.0%1st Place
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6.47U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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13.04University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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7.05University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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11.4Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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14.72North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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17.29Columbia University0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marly Isler | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 12.1% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dirk Johnson | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Duncan Swain | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Cook | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Harry Hoffman | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 28.1% | 47.8% |
| William Hawk | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Giordano | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 18.0% | 11.6% | 2.3% |
| Nate Jermain | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| David Rogers | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 23.3% | 18.0% | 6.1% |
| Michael Fagundo | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 30.1% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.