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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.63+5.38vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.95+7.02vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.79+2.91vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.41+3.13vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+4.79vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.58+4.38vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.81+2.63vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.38-0.43vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.65-2.83vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.84+3.18vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.27-3.28vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.76-1.90vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.97-4.23vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.13-5.62vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.92-5.95vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.34-4.72vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.38-2.46vs Predicted
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18Columbia University0.05-0.45vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.07-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.02University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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5.91Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.13University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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9.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.38Connecticut College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.63Boston University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.57Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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6.17Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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13.18University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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7.72Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.1Yale University2.760.0%1st Place
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8.77Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.38Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.05Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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11.28Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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14.54North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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17.55Columbia University0.050.0%1st Place
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17.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Prieto | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 12.5% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Giordano | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Charles Welsh | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mason Wolters | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 17.9% | 9.2% | 1.9% |
| Nathan Allman | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Dirk Johnson | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Cook | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Hawk | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| David Rogers | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 24.4% | 18.8% | 6.3% |
| Michael Fagundo | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 10.6% | 30.8% | 43.7% |
| Harry Hoffman | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 28.0% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.