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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22+2.70vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.07+4.48vs Predicted
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3Columbia University2.43+2.59vs Predicted
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4Hamilton College0.85+5.51vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology-0.22+6.34vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.63-1.02vs Predicted
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7Queen's University1.19+1.57vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.33-4.58vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.68-4.01vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology0.11+0.81vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.26-5.15vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.98-2.72vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.11-6.51vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology-0.22-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.2%1st Place
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6.48Cornell University2.070.1%1st Place
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5.59Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.51Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
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11.34Stevens Institute of Technology-0.220.0%1st Place
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4.98SUNY Maritime College2.630.1%1st Place
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8.57Queen's University1.190.0%1st Place
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3.42Georgetown University3.330.2%1st Place
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4.99U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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10.81Rochester Institute of Technology0.110.0%1st Place
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5.85SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
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9.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.980.0%1st Place
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6.49Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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11.34Stevens Institute of Technology-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Zacher | 19.0% | 18.3% | 17.5% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Goldsmith | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William McIvor | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 18.9% | 19.2% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter McCauley | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 21.1% | 46.9% | 0.0% |
| Julia Paxton | 12.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Heather Richardson | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 10.5% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Eichler | 21.9% | 19.6% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Timmins | 12.0% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Smith | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 26.0% | 29.5% | 0.0% |
| Scott Lubliner | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Wood | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 18.5% | 16.2% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter McCauley | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 21.1% | 46.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.