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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+7.24vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.23+6.60vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+3.02vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.98+5.61vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+2.18vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+0.26vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.99-1.00vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.42-3.07vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.08+0.38vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.30-1.27vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.41-2.70vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.47-3.89vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.56-5.33vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.01-8.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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8.6University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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6.02Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.61Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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7.18Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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6.0University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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4.93Boston University3.420.2%1st Place
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9.38Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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8.73Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.3Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.11Roger Williams University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.67Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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5.97Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Rohde | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.9% |
| Casey Klingler | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 20.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 9.7% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 16.1% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 15.6% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.5% |
| Camille Matile | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% |
| Sara Swanson | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.