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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.23+7.66vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+3.84vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.99+3.27vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+0.89vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.41+3.36vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.98+3.77vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.30+1.32vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.470.00vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.56-1.22vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-1.56vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.01-4.71vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-4.89vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-6.91vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.08-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.66University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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5.84Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.27University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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4.89Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.36Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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9.77Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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8.32Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.0Roger Williams University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.78Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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8.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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6.29Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.11Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.18Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Hannah Polster | 13.9% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Camille Matile | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.6% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 21.9% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% |
| Sara Swanson | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% |
| Courtney Koos | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 8.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 9.8% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.