← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.05+4.98vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+3.97vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont2.99+3.24vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.56+3.73vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University2.41+3.35vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College1.98+3.73vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University2.47+0.76vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+0.28vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.75-1.83vs Predicted
-
10Boston University3.42-5.06vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University2.30-2.33vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island2.23-3.16vs Predicted
-
13Brown University3.01-6.86vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University2.08-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.98Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
5.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
6.24University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
7.73Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
-
8.35Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
-
9.73Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
-
7.76Roger Williams University2.470.1%1st Place
-
8.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
-
7.17Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
4.94Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
8.67Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
-
8.84University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
-
6.14Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
9.19Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% |
| Camille Matile | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 7.9% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 21.0% |
| Sara Swanson | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 14.3% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.1% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 12.6% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.