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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.96+5.15vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+4.77vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.67+4.18vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.05+5.28vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.05+4.32vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.58+1.65vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.51+0.45vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.87-1.46vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91-2.51vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.86-0.09vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-6.13vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.51-1.20vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.37-8.02vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.50-6.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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7.18Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.28Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.32Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.65Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.45Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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6.54Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.49Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.91Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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4.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.2%1st Place
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10.8Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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4.98University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.6Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amina Brown | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Laura Dunphy | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 2.3% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 13.7% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 14.2% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 4.8% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 19.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 15.2% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 30.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.8% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.