Race 2B

regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Kelly McGlynn 8.2% 7.7% 10.5% 8.8% 8.6% 9.1% 8.0% 7.2% 7.3% 7.3% 5.8% 5.8% 3.8% 1.9%
Laura Dunphy 7.9% 9.5% 7.4% 8.1% 7.7% 7.8% 8.3% 7.7% 8.2% 8.7% 7.3% 5.0% 4.1% 2.3%
Lizzy Hamilton 6.2% 6.0% 6.5% 7.2% 6.1% 6.0% 7.4% 7.4% 8.9% 7.4% 9.5% 9.9% 6.8% 4.7%
Sophie Bermudez 5.3% 7.4% 6.5% 6.7% 7.8% 7.7% 7.1% 7.7% 8.2% 8.2% 8.1% 8.8% 6.5% 4.0%
Janel DeCurtis 2.4% 2.8% 3.5% 4.2% 3.8% 4.7% 5.9% 5.9% 5.5% 7.6% 9.0% 9.7% 16.5% 18.5%
Dana Rohde 13.1% 15.1% 12.0% 11.8% 10.2% 8.9% 7.4% 6.1% 4.7% 4.7% 3.1% 1.7% 1.1% 0.1%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 7.1% 9.3% 7.8% 7.4% 7.5% 8.2% 7.1% 8.6% 8.3% 8.2% 6.2% 6.5% 4.7% 3.1%
Sarah Hermus 15.7% 13.3% 11.3% 10.5% 10.0% 8.8% 6.4% 6.5% 5.6% 5.2% 3.3% 1.9% 1.2% 0.3%
MaryClaire Kiernan 8.8% 6.8% 9.7% 7.3% 10.5% 9.1% 7.9% 8.9% 6.6% 7.8% 6.9% 5.6% 2.7% 1.4%
Lindsey Kennett 3.9% 2.4% 4.4% 2.9% 5.4% 5.6% 6.7% 5.7% 7.1% 8.5% 9.2% 11.2% 13.6% 13.4%
Amina Brown 10.1% 7.8% 8.2% 9.6% 9.0% 8.5% 9.1% 8.9% 7.2% 5.6% 6.0% 5.4% 2.7% 1.9%
Alexandra Maurillo 5.3% 5.5% 6.1% 7.5% 6.6% 7.6% 7.3% 8.5% 9.7% 7.0% 7.5% 7.8% 7.9% 5.7%
Victoria McGruer 4.0% 4.1% 4.3% 4.5% 4.5% 4.8% 5.8% 6.2% 7.8% 8.8% 10.0% 11.3% 10.9% 13.0%
Genevieve Marquardt 2.0% 2.3% 1.8% 3.5% 2.3% 3.2% 5.6% 4.7% 4.9% 5.0% 8.1% 9.4% 17.5% 29.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.