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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.19+7.70vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22+1.73vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.33+0.48vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.26+1.97vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.11+1.29vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.63-1.02vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.07-0.62vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology-0.22+3.38vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College0.85+0.48vs Predicted
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10Stevens Institute of Technology-0.22+1.38vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.68-6.08vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology0.11-1.18vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.98-3.72vs Predicted
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15Columbia University2.43-9.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.7Queen's University1.190.0%1st Place
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3.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.2%1st Place
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3.48Georgetown University3.330.2%1st Place
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5.97SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
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6.29Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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4.98SUNY Maritime College2.630.1%1st Place
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6.38Cornell University2.070.1%1st Place
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11.38Stevens Institute of Technology-0.220.0%1st Place
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9.48Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
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11.38Stevens Institute of Technology-0.220.0%1st Place
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4.92U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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10.82Rochester Institute of Technology0.110.0%1st Place
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9.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.980.0%1st Place
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5.6Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Richardson | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Zacher | 17.6% | 19.9% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Eichler | 23.2% | 17.8% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Lubliner | 5.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Julia Paxton | 11.1% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Goldsmith | 7.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter McCauley | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 21.0% | 45.8% | 0.0% |
| William McIvor | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 18.4% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter McCauley | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 21.0% | 45.8% | 0.0% |
| Connor Timmins | 11.7% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Smith | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 15.6% | 26.3% | 27.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Wood | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 19.1% | 14.9% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.