Race 3B

regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

14.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Kelly McGlynn 7.6% 9.8% 8.6% 9.1% 9.6% 7.9% 8.7% 7.7% 8.3% 5.6% 6.1% 5.0% 4.0% 2.0%
Genevieve Marquardt 1.9% 2.8% 3.2% 2.5% 3.4% 3.9% 4.3% 5.0% 4.4% 5.9% 6.7% 11.3% 15.4% 29.3%
MaryClaire Kiernan 8.1% 10.1% 9.5% 8.1% 7.2% 8.1% 9.6% 7.8% 7.8% 6.1% 7.9% 4.8% 3.3% 1.6%
Lizzy Hamilton 5.4% 6.8% 6.1% 6.8% 7.8% 5.8% 7.5% 7.5% 8.2% 8.6% 9.1% 8.4% 6.2% 5.8%
Lindsey Kennett 3.3% 2.8% 4.4% 5.3% 4.3% 5.6% 6.5% 6.4% 6.0% 7.2% 8.5% 11.4% 14.7% 13.6%
Sophie Bermudez 6.9% 4.4% 6.8% 6.5% 6.2% 8.5% 7.4% 8.2% 9.2% 8.9% 7.3% 7.1% 7.7% 4.9%
Janel DeCurtis 3.9% 2.7% 4.1% 4.4% 4.7% 5.1% 5.1% 4.6% 6.4% 7.9% 10.3% 10.0% 14.1% 16.7%
Sarah Hermus 15.0% 14.6% 12.3% 9.2% 9.9% 9.0% 5.4% 7.4% 5.5% 4.9% 3.1% 2.1% 1.3% 0.3%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 7.2% 5.9% 7.6% 6.5% 7.3% 7.8% 9.3% 7.9% 8.7% 8.2% 8.2% 7.0% 5.2% 3.2%
Laura Dunphy 7.3% 5.9% 7.4% 9.8% 8.1% 7.3% 7.9% 7.5% 7.6% 8.9% 8.2% 6.3% 5.3% 2.5%
Dana Rohde 15.3% 13.6% 12.7% 10.8% 9.6% 9.1% 7.5% 7.0% 4.5% 3.5% 2.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.1%
Alexandra Maurillo 5.2% 6.4% 5.1% 6.2% 7.5% 7.9% 6.5% 8.0% 9.6% 9.7% 7.3% 7.8% 6.2% 6.6%
Amina Brown 9.4% 10.5% 7.8% 9.9% 8.2% 8.5% 9.9% 8.3% 6.7% 5.6% 5.2% 5.5% 3.1% 1.4%
Victoria McGruer 3.5% 3.7% 4.4% 4.9% 6.2% 5.5% 4.4% 6.7% 7.1% 9.0% 9.5% 10.6% 12.5% 12.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.