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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.79+4.01vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.74+0.02vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.03+3.28vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.81+1.02vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.56-1.29vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.81-0.98vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.71-1.74vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.53-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.01Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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2.02Tufts University3.740.5%1st Place
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6.28Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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5.02Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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3.71Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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5.02Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
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5.26Boston University1.710.1%1st Place
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3.67Tufts University2.530.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Paige | 6.3% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 18.3% | 11.9% |
| Leah Fletcher | 45.5% | 26.3% | 15.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Henderson | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 17.3% | 41.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 6.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 18.3% | 12.1% |
| Timothy Harding | 12.6% | 18.1% | 19.3% | 17.0% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| Peter Bailey | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 12.2% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 17.7% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 13.6% | 18.2% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.