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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.79+4.01vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.74+0.01vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.81+2.01vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.71+1.21vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.53-1.26vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.81-1.01vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.56-3.23vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.03-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.01Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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2.01Tufts University3.740.5%1st Place
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5.01Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
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5.21Boston University1.710.1%1st Place
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3.74Tufts University2.530.1%1st Place
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4.99Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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3.77Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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6.26Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Paige | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 13.3% |
| Leah Fletcher | 45.4% | 27.9% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 6.3% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 13.2% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 17.7% | 16.1% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 13.0% | 17.1% | 20.2% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 2.3% |
| Pierre DuPont | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 13.6% |
| Timothy Harding | 14.3% | 16.5% | 17.7% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
| Colin Henderson | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 20.1% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.