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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.74+1.02vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.79+3.07vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.81+1.99vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.03+2.31vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.81+0.06vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.71-0.84vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.53-3.16vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.56-4.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02Tufts University3.740.4%1st Place
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5.07Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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4.99Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
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6.31Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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5.06Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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5.16Boston University1.710.1%1st Place
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3.84Tufts University2.530.1%1st Place
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3.56Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leah Fletcher | 44.7% | 28.4% | 14.5% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Paige | 5.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 14.6% | 18.9% | 12.3% |
| Peter Bailey | 6.6% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 17.1% | 12.2% |
| Colin Henderson | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 18.3% | 40.8% |
| Pierre DuPont | 5.7% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 13.2% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 6.5% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 16.7% | 15.6% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 13.4% | 14.1% | 20.2% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 3.3% |
| Timothy Harding | 14.2% | 20.0% | 17.9% | 18.0% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.