Race 2A

saisa-sp-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Madison Gates 13.2% 12.7% 10.8% 13.1% 11.6% 11.0% 10.2% 7.0% 4.5% 3.7% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Anna Huebschmann 5.3% 7.4% 7.1% 8.7% 8.1% 10.4% 10.5% 10.4% 10.8% 11.6% 6.9% 2.8% 0.0%
Geoffrey Nelson 23.2% 18.3% 16.4% 12.2% 11.1% 8.1% 4.8% 3.3% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Giancarlo Falconi 4.6% 5.2% 5.3% 6.7% 8.7% 8.0% 8.2% 11.7% 13.1% 10.5% 13.2% 4.8% 0.0%
Peter Hidley 9.1% 9.0% 11.9% 10.5% 9.3% 11.5% 8.6% 8.6% 8.9% 5.5% 6.1% 1.0% 0.0%
Dean Nixon 4.9% 5.8% 6.4% 5.5% 6.5% 7.9% 8.9% 11.7% 12.7% 11.5% 12.2% 6.0% 0.0%
Curtis Woodworth 11.1% 14.6% 12.2% 10.0% 11.1% 9.7% 9.9% 7.3% 7.8% 3.7% 1.6% 1.0% 0.0%
Martin Hood 7.5% 5.7% 6.4% 7.3% 7.8% 7.7% 10.3% 10.1% 9.6% 13.2% 9.5% 4.9% 0.0%
Maria Ayala 2.9% 2.0% 3.1% 4.6% 4.4% 6.7% 8.6% 8.8% 10.0% 15.5% 19.7% 13.7% 0.0%
Jack Famiglietti 12.8% 13.6% 14.0% 11.7% 11.7% 9.0% 9.0% 8.1% 4.9% 3.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Allison Price 4.7% 4.6% 4.9% 8.0% 7.3% 8.2% 9.2% 10.2% 11.9% 13.9% 11.4% 5.7% 0.0%
Thomas Monson 0.7% 1.1% 1.5% 1.7% 2.4% 1.8% 1.8% 2.8% 4.4% 6.8% 15.2% 59.8% 0.0%
Curtis Woodworth 11.1% 14.6% 12.2% 10.0% 11.1% 9.7% 9.9% 7.3% 7.8% 3.7% 1.6% 1.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.