Race 3A

saisa-sp-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Madison Gates 12.9% 12.9% 11.6% 12.5% 11.9% 10.4% 9.7% 7.2% 4.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Anna Huebschmann 5.0% 7.8% 7.0% 9.0% 9.2% 8.8% 9.4% 11.6% 10.8% 10.5% 7.9% 3.0% 0.0%
Geoffrey Nelson 23.2% 19.1% 15.4% 12.8% 10.2% 7.9% 5.5% 2.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Dean Nixon 4.5% 5.0% 6.0% 6.0% 8.6% 9.2% 7.7% 11.5% 10.5% 13.1% 13.0% 4.9% 0.0%
Jack Famiglietti 12.7% 13.8% 14.5% 9.9% 10.0% 10.1% 8.4% 8.3% 5.7% 4.1% 2.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Peter Hidley 9.8% 9.5% 9.7% 9.9% 11.0% 10.6% 9.6% 11.2% 7.4% 7.0% 3.0% 1.3% 0.0%
Allison Price 6.1% 5.6% 7.0% 6.7% 7.3% 9.2% 8.8% 8.4% 13.2% 10.3% 12.8% 4.6% 0.0%
Giancarlo Falconi 6.3% 5.7% 5.5% 7.4% 7.1% 6.7% 10.0% 10.9% 10.8% 12.4% 10.8% 6.4% 0.0%
Maria Ayala 2.7% 2.5% 3.1% 4.1% 4.5% 7.0% 8.6% 7.7% 11.4% 14.0% 21.3% 13.1% 0.0%
Curtis Woodworth 11.4% 11.7% 12.5% 12.6% 9.7% 10.5% 11.1% 7.5% 6.0% 3.9% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Martin Hood 4.8% 5.2% 6.1% 7.7% 8.3% 8.0% 9.2% 10.1% 12.9% 12.4% 10.3% 5.0% 0.0%
Thomas Monson 0.6% 1.2% 1.6% 1.4% 2.2% 1.6% 2.0% 2.9% 4.0% 7.5% 14.0% 61.0% 0.0%
Curtis Woodworth 11.4% 11.7% 12.5% 12.6% 9.7% 10.5% 11.1% 7.5% 6.0% 3.9% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.