Race 4A

saisa-sp-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Anna Huebschmann 6.1% 7.2% 6.1% 7.4% 8.9% 9.5% 10.4% 10.0% 11.9% 10.8% 8.8% 2.9% 0.0%
Giancarlo Falconi 4.2% 5.2% 7.1% 7.2% 7.8% 6.7% 8.9% 11.1% 12.5% 13.2% 11.0% 5.1% 0.0%
Curtis Woodworth 11.3% 11.3% 12.7% 10.2% 10.2% 11.1% 10.0% 8.8% 7.1% 4.6% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Madison Gates 11.9% 14.4% 13.4% 11.9% 12.2% 10.9% 8.0% 7.3% 4.7% 3.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Dean Nixon 4.2% 6.3% 5.8% 6.5% 7.8% 8.1% 9.0% 10.1% 12.0% 10.6% 14.0% 5.6% 0.0%
Jack Famiglietti 15.0% 9.6% 12.6% 13.6% 10.6% 11.2% 9.2% 7.7% 4.0% 4.3% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Geoffrey Nelson 23.5% 21.9% 14.1% 11.2% 9.5% 8.4% 5.0% 3.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Maria Ayala 2.7% 4.1% 3.9% 4.1% 5.3% 4.5% 6.8% 8.1% 10.5% 12.8% 22.5% 14.7% 0.0%
Allison Price 4.4% 5.1% 6.1% 8.5% 8.4% 8.3% 11.8% 8.9% 11.4% 12.2% 11.4% 3.5% 0.0%
Martin Hood 6.0% 6.0% 5.4% 7.7% 7.7% 8.8% 9.8% 10.5% 11.2% 14.1% 8.3% 4.5% 0.0%
Thomas Monson 1.2% 1.5% 0.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.9% 2.0% 3.3% 4.9% 6.4% 13.4% 61.8% 0.0%
Peter Hidley 9.5% 7.4% 12.1% 10.3% 10.1% 10.6% 9.1% 10.8% 8.0% 7.1% 3.9% 1.1% 0.0%
Curtis Woodworth 11.3% 11.3% 12.7% 10.2% 10.2% 11.1% 10.0% 8.8% 7.1% 4.6% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.