Race 5A

saisa-sp-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Dean Nixon 4.7% 5.1% 5.8% 6.6% 6.3% 7.8% 9.2% 11.7% 12.4% 12.1% 12.9% 5.4% 0.0%
Giancarlo Falconi 4.1% 6.6% 5.9% 7.8% 6.9% 7.8% 8.5% 10.8% 12.5% 13.6% 11.2% 4.3% 0.0%
Madison Gates 13.9% 11.4% 12.6% 12.7% 10.9% 10.2% 10.4% 7.6% 5.4% 3.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Anna Huebschmann 5.5% 6.3% 8.4% 8.4% 8.2% 9.7% 9.6% 11.4% 10.4% 9.7% 9.3% 3.1% 0.0%
Martin Hood 5.0% 7.1% 6.8% 6.9% 8.5% 8.6% 9.7% 9.8% 10.0% 11.7% 11.0% 4.9% 0.0%
Jack Famiglietti 13.9% 12.7% 12.3% 11.9% 11.5% 10.5% 9.6% 7.5% 4.1% 4.1% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Curtis Woodworth 12.0% 12.6% 12.4% 10.9% 9.9% 11.0% 9.7% 7.2% 7.0% 4.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.0%
Geoffrey Nelson 24.2% 19.1% 13.4% 12.3% 12.2% 6.3% 5.8% 3.2% 1.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Allison Price 4.7% 5.3% 6.7% 6.9% 8.2% 9.8% 10.2% 10.5% 10.8% 12.6% 10.8% 3.5% 0.0%
Peter Hidley 8.6% 10.0% 11.2% 10.5% 10.4% 11.2% 8.8% 11.1% 8.8% 4.8% 3.6% 1.0% 0.0%
Maria Ayala 2.7% 2.1% 3.5% 3.8% 5.2% 4.3% 6.6% 7.6% 12.2% 14.4% 21.2% 16.4% 0.0%
Curtis Woodworth 12.0% 12.6% 12.4% 10.9% 9.9% 11.0% 9.7% 7.2% 7.0% 4.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.0%
Thomas Monson 0.7% 1.7% 1.0% 1.3% 1.8% 2.8% 1.9% 1.6% 4.8% 7.6% 14.8% 60.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.